Articles | Volume 12, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-12-195-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-12-195-2026
24 Jun 2026
 | 24 Jun 2026

Non-stationary GEV models for estimating design sea-states in a changing climate – applications to offshore wind farms along the French coasts

Nicolas Raillard, Coline Poppeschi, Tessa Chevallier, Youen Kervella, and Laurent Dubus

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Short summary
This study examines how ocean wave conditions around France may change as the climate warms. Using a new statistical approach and multiple climate projections, it shows that extreme waves are likely to become more intense in winter and less severe in summer, especially along the Atlantic coast and the English Channel. The work also proposes a new way to define extreme sea-state conditions over the structure's lifetime, leading to better design.
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