Articles | Volume 6, issue 1
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 6, 45–60, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-6-45-2020
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 6, 45–60, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-6-45-2020

  11 May 2020

11 May 2020

Postprocessing ensemble forecasts of vertical temperature profiles

David Schoenach et al.

Data sets

NOAA Integrated Global Radiosonde Archive (IGRA) NOAA https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/data-access/weather-balloon/integrated-global-radiosonde-archive

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Short summary
State-of-the-art statistical methods are applied to postprocess an ensemble of numerical forecasts for vertical profiles of air temperature. These profiles are important tools in weather forecasting as they show the stratification and the static stability of the atmosphere. Flexible regression models combined with the multi-dimensionality of the data lead to better calibration and representation of uncertainty of the vertical profiles.