Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography
Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography
ASCMO
Articles | Volume 2, issue 2
Articles | Volume 2, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-2-105-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-2-105-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Articles | Volume 2, issue 2
02 Aug 2016
 | 02 Aug 2016

A space–time statistical climate model for hurricane intensification in the North Atlantic basin

Erik Fraza, James B. Elsner, and Thomas H. Jagger

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Short summary
Climate influences on hurricane intensification are investigated by averaging hourly intensification rates over the period 1975–2014 in 8° by 8° latitude–longitude grid cells. The statistical effects of hurricane intensity, sea-surface temperature (SST), El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) are quantified. Intensity, SST, and NAO had a positive effect on intensification rates. The NAO effect should be further studied.
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Hierarchical and exploratory statistical methods for ocean...