Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography
Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography
ASCMO
Articles | Volume 5, issue 1
Articles | Volume 5, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-5-17-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-5-17-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 5, issue 1
12 Mar 2019
 | 12 Mar 2019

Influence of initial ocean conditions on temperature and precipitation in a coupled climate model's solution

Robin Tokmakian and Peter Challenor

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Latest update: 03 Jun 2026
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Short summary
As an example of how to robustly determine climate model uncertainty, the paper describes an experiment that perturbs the initial conditions for the ocean's temperature of a climate model. A total of 30 perturbed simulations are used (via an emulator) to estimate spatial uncertainties for temperature and precipitation fields. We also examined (using maximum covariance analysis) how ocean temperatures affect air temperatures and precipitation over land and the importance of feedback processes.
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