Articles | Volume 4, issue 1/2
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 4, 53–63, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-4-53-2018
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 4, 53–63, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-4-53-2018

  06 Dec 2018

06 Dec 2018

An integration and assessment of multiple covariates of nonstationary storm surge statistical behavior by Bayesian model averaging

Tony E. Wong

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An integration and assessment of multiple covariates of nonstationary storm surge statistical behavior by Bayesian model averaging Tony Wong https://github.com/tonyewong/covariates

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Short summary
Millions of people worldwide are at a risk of coastal flooding, and this number will increase as the climate continues to change. This study analyzes how climate change affects future flood hazards. A new model that uses multiple climate variables for flood hazard is developed. For the case study of Norfolk, Virginia, the model predicts 23 cm higher flood levels relative to previous work. This work shows the importance of accounting for climate change in effectively managing coastal risks.