Articles | Volume 6, issue 2
07 Oct 2020
 | 07 Oct 2020

Nonlinear time series models for the North Atlantic Oscillation

Thomas Önskog, Christian L. E. Franzke, and Abdel Hannachi


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Short summary
The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) has a significant impact on seasonal climate and surface weather conditions throughout Europe, North America and the North Atlantic. In this paper, we study a number of linear and nonlinear models for a station-based time series of the daily winter NAO. We find that a class of nonlinear models, including both short and long lags, excellently reproduce the characteristic statistical properties of the NAO. These models can hence be used to simulate the NAO.