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Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography An international open-access journal on applied statistics
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ASCMO | Articles | Volume 4, issue 1/2
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 4, 1–18, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-4-1-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 4, 1–18, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-4-1-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

  22 Aug 2018

22 Aug 2018

The joint influence of break and noise variance on the break detection capability in time series homogenization

Ralf Lindau and Victor Karel Christiaan Venema

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Climate data contain spurious breaks, e.g., by relocation of stations, which makes it difficult to infer the secular temperature trend. Homogenization algorithms use the difference time series of neighboring stations to detect and eliminate this spurious break signal. For low signal-to-noise ratios, i.e., large distances between stations, the correct break positions may not only remain undetected, but segmentations explaining mainly the noise can be erroneously assessed as significant and true.
Climate data contain spurious breaks, e.g., by relocation of stations, which makes it difficult...
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