Articles | Volume 10, issue 1
22 Mar 2024
 | 22 Mar 2024

Applying different methods to model dry and wet spells at daily scale in a large range of rainfall regimes across Europe

Giorgio Baiamonte, Carmelo Agnese, Carmelo Cammalleri, Elvira Di Nardo, Stefano Ferraris, and Tommaso Martini

Related authors

Exploring the joint probability of precipitation and soil moisture over Europe using copulas
Carmelo Cammalleri, Carlo De Michele, and Andrea Toreti
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 103–115,,, 2024
Short summary
Technical Note: two-component Electrical Conductivity-based hydrograph separaTion employing an EXPonential mixing model (EXPECT) provides reliable high temporal resolution young water fraction estimates in three small Swiss catchments
Alessio Gentile, Jana von Freyberg, Davide Gisolo, Davide Canone, and Stefano Ferraris
EGUsphere,,, 2023
Short summary
Towards a conceptualization of the hydrological processes behind changes of young water fraction with elevation: a focus on mountainous alpine catchments
Alessio Gentile, Davide Canone, Natalie Ceperley, Davide Gisolo, Maurizio Previati, Giulia Zuecco, Bettina Schaefli, and Stefano Ferraris
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 2301–2323,,, 2023
Short summary
Analysis of the relationship between yield in cereals and remotely sensed fAPAR in the framework of monitoring drought impacts in Europe
Carmelo Cammalleri, Niall McCormick, and Andrea Toreti
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3737–3750,,, 2022
Short summary
Lessons from the 2018–2019 European droughts: a collective need for unifying drought risk management
Veit Blauhut, Michael Stoelzle, Lauri Ahopelto, Manuela I. Brunner, Claudia Teutschbein, Doris E. Wendt, Vytautas Akstinas, Sigrid J. Bakke, Lucy J. Barker, Lenka Bartošová, Agrita Briede, Carmelo Cammalleri, Ksenija Cindrić Kalin, Lucia De Stefano, Miriam Fendeková, David C. Finger, Marijke Huysmans, Mirjana Ivanov, Jaak Jaagus, Jiří Jakubínský, Svitlana Krakovska, Gregor Laaha, Monika Lakatos, Kiril Manevski, Mathias Neumann Andersen, Nina Nikolova, Marzena Osuch, Pieter van Oel, Kalina Radeva, Renata J. Romanowicz, Elena Toth, Mirek Trnka, Marko Urošev, Julia Urquijo Reguera, Eric Sauquet, Aleksandra Stevkov, Lena M. Tallaksen, Iryna Trofimova, Anne F. Van Loon, Michelle T. H. van Vliet, Jean-Philippe Vidal, Niko Wanders, Micha Werner, Patrick Willems, and Nenad Živković
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2201–2217,,, 2022
Short summary

Related subject area

Comparison of climate time series – Part 5: Multivariate annual cycles
Timothy DelSole and Michael K. Tippett
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 10, 1–27,,, 2024
Short summary
Regridding uncertainty for statistical downscaling of solar radiation
Maggie D. Bailey, Douglas Nychka, Manajit Sengupta, Aron Habte, Yu Xie, and Soutir Bandyopadhyay
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 9, 103–120,,, 2023
Short summary
Quantifying the statistical dependence of mid-latitude heatwave intensity and likelihood on prevalent physical drivers and climate change
Joel Zeder and Erich M. Fischer
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 9, 83–102,,, 2023
Short summary
Statistical modeling of the space–time relation between wind and significant wave height
Said Obakrim, Pierre Ailliot, Valérie Monbet, and Nicolas Raillard
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 9, 67–81,,, 2023
Short summary
Modeling general circulation model bias via a combination of localized regression and quantile mapping methods
Benjamin James Washington, Lynne Seymour, and Thomas L. Mote
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 9, 1–28,,, 2023
Short summary

Cited articles

Agnese, C., Baiamonte, G., and Cammalleri, C.: Modelling the occurrence of rainy days under a typical Mediterranean climate, Adv. Water Resour., 64, 62–76, 2014. 
Baiamonte, G., Mercalli, L., Cat Berro, D., Agnese, C., and Ferraris, S.: Modelling the frequency distribution of inter-arrival times from daily precipitation time-series in North-West Italy, Hydrol. Res., 50, 339–357, 2019. 
Berger, A. and Goossens, C.: Persistence of wet and dry spells at Uccle (Belgium), J. Climatol., 3, 21–34, 1983. 
Bonsal, B. R. and Lawford, R. G.: Teleconnections between El Niño and La Niña events and summer extended dry spells on the Canadian prairies, Int. J. Climatol., 19, 1445–1458, 1999. 
Caloiero, T. and Coscarelli, R.: Analysis of the characteristics of dry and wet spells in a Mediterranean region, Environ. Process., 7, 691–701,, 2020. 
Short summary
In hydrology, the probability distributions are used to determine the probability of occurrence of rainfall events. In this study, two different methods for modeling rainfall time characteristics have been applied: a direct method and an indirect method that make it possible to relax the assumptions of the renewal process. The analysis was extended to two additional time variables that may be of great interest for practical hydrological applications: wet chains and dry chains.