Articles | Volume 6, issue 2
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 6, 177–203, 2020

Special issue: Methods for detection and attribution of anthropogenic climate...

Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 6, 177–203, 2020

  10 Nov 2020

10 Nov 2020

A protocol for probabilistic extreme event attribution analyses

Sjoukje Philip et al.

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Cited articles

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Allen, M. R. and Ingram, W. J.: Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle, Nature, 419, 224–232,, 2002. a
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Bellprat, O., Guemas, V., Doblas-Reyes, F., and Donat, M. G.: Towards reliable extreme weather and climate event attribution, Nat. Commun., 10, 1732,, 2019. a, b, c
Short summary
Event attribution studies can now be performed at short notice. We document a protocol developed by the World Weather Attribution group. It includes choices of which events to analyse, the event definition, observational analysis, model evaluation, multi-model multi-method attribution, hazard synthesis, vulnerability and exposure analysis, and communication procedures. The protocol will be useful for future event attribution studies and as a basis for an operational attribution service.